TOTTENHAM v MIDDLESBROUGH BEST BETTING

It's time to get yourself down the bookies again and line the pockets of the man in the sheepskin coat.


If you followed my Middlesbrough v Liverpool advice last week, then you will probably still be housebound due to lack of cash and that means that you will have plenty of time on your hands to get online and waste even more money on Boro v Spurs this Saturday.

This game could go either way and I'm not envious of those pundits whose job it is to make predictions. I can't call this one at all, despite my obvious bias towards Boro.

We all know about Spurs three hundred or so new recruits but have they gelled yet? We all know about Boro's ambition but are we shooting above our station at the moment?

So like last week, we are going to try edging it again which means narrowing down the possibilities so that we are left with several bets that hopefully cover all reasonably expected outcomes.

A no-lose bet? Not exactly but if you use this method, it will increase your chances of a win by roughly 134.78329%.

We are going with Ladbrokes again this week. Their odds always seem slightly better than most other bookies and that rings true for this match as well.

As is usual with games that are too close to call, the margin of difference is unlikely to be more than two goals, so we will start by crossing out all the bets that include three goals to one side.

Putting the draw aside for the moment, that leaves us with the following.

Tottenham 1 - 0 6/1
Tottenham 2 - 0 7/1
Tottenham 2 - 1 7/1
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 8/1
Middlesbrough 2 - 0 18/1
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 12/1

Some very nice odds there. Six separate bets with the lowest odds being 6/1. I'm having a nifty fifty on each of those six. And if someone scores three, I'm down £300 and bound to get it in the neck from Mrs H again.

But if the likely scenario happens and someone wins but doesn't score three, I'll be out on the town on Saturday night. Without Mrs H.

To the draw and we have several options here. A straight draw is 11/5 which would not cover our complete outlay if it came in.

So to keep things correct, you need to lose one of the correct score win bets. Which one you drop depends on how you feel about the game.

I dropped Spurs 1-0 because it had the lowest odds. And because I'm a Boro fan.

So now we are left with six bets which cover the draw and five possible score outcomes.

And the bottom line is that unless someone scores three or the correct score that you discarded comes in, you will win money.

Which means that you can get yourself down the pawn shop and get your Sunday best suit back that you handed over after the Liverpool game.

And after all that, it will probaly be a 3-3 draw now...

Harry Haverton

All prices quoted in this article are from Ladrokes and were correct at time of publishing. They are subject to change without notice and you are advised to check our calculations before placing any bets. You are strongly advised not to follow Harry Haverton's gambling tips as he really has no idea what he is talking about.

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